Welcome to the first edition of High & Tight Sports’ Fantasy Preview here in Week 10. This is the beginning of crunch time in the fantasy season, with teams either trying to fight for the top spot, sneak into playoffs and or avoid last place and the league punishments that accompany it. This article will include a Top Play, Must Start, and Sleeper from each position as well as players to use caution with or to just avoid completely. Any fantasy questions can be emailed to firstname.lastname@example.org or DM our twitter @HighTightBlog. Enjoy.
TOP PLAY: Cam Newton @PIT- Cam Newton edges out Drew Brees as my top QB option this week as he now has thrown at least 2 touchdown passes in SEVEN consecutive games, as well as over 20 fantasy points in his last 4 games and 6 of the 8 games he’s played in this year. He’s facing a Pittsburgh defense that allows 274.6 yards per game this year and 17 passing touchdowns through 8 games, resulting in them allowing the 5th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.
MUST START: Philip Rivers @OAK- Although he hasn’t been throwing the ball as much the last few weeks (doesn’t have over 27 attempts since Week 4) he still has at least 2 touchdown passes in every game this season. Pair that with the fact he’s facing an Oakland Defense that just got torched by Nick Mullens (262yds, 3td, 0int), also got lit up by Ryan Tannehill in Week 3 (289yds, 3tds, 0ints) and seems to have just given up at this point. Combine those factors and you find a lot to love about Rivers this week.
CAUTION: Tom Brady @TEN- Yes, avoid Tom Brady this week. He has only 5 touchdowns over his last 4 games (3 coming in the game @Chicago), and although he still has had the yards over the span (averaging 308.7), he is facing a Tennessee defense that is allowing the 6th fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this year. Look for Malcolm Butler to play his best game of the year against his old team as well.
SLEEPER: Baker Mayfield vsATL- Baker has thrown the ball over 34 times in each of his starts and going against a depleted Falcons defense in a game that figures to be a shootout, Baker is my sleeper for the week. The Falcons have given up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and have allowed at least 250 yards to every starter besides Nick Foles Week 1 and the ONLY quarterbacks not to throw for at LEAST 3 touchdowns are Nick Foles, Eli Manning, and Alex Smith…Baker is a better QB than them and will have at least 2 touchdowns this week along with at least 275 yards.
TOP PLAY: Kareem Hunt vsARI- Kareem Hunt started the season off somewhat slow but has really picked it up recently with over 30 fantasy points in 2 of his last 3 games, he has also scored a touchdown in every game except for week 1. He will be facing a Cardinals defense that’s the second worst in the league in both rushing yards allowed per game and rushing TDs allowed and has allowed the second most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. The Chiefs should go up big and it should happen quickly, which is why Kareem Hunt is my top play this week.
MUST START: Duke Johnson Jr. vsATL- Duke Johnson? Yup. He has only 3 games over 10 points this year, but he’s coming off a 25 point performance last week in which he only had 1 carry for 9 yards. His rushing stats aren’t why he’s here, but his receiving stats…oh boy. He had 9 receptions for 78 yards and 2 touchdowns, and is now facing an Atlanta defense that is allowing the 4th most fantasy points to opposing running backs. They allowed 14, 15 and 9 receptions to Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara and Saquon Barkley and are allowing an average of 6.8 receptions to running backs each week. Start Duke Johnson this week.
CAUTION: David Johnson @KC- Looking at this matchup with the Chiefs, you would think this would be a good matchup for Johnson as they don’t have a good defense and they’re allowing the 10th most fantasy points to opposing running backs. However, Johnson over the last 3 weeks is averaging just 10.8 fantasy points and with the Chiefs most likely leading the whole way this week he probably wont get too many rushing attempts and the Cardinals haven’t schemed many targets Johnson’s way this year, so I say be cautious with him this week.
SLEEPER: Mark Ingram @CIN- After bursting back onto the scene in Week 5 after his suspension, Ingram has only 18 total fantasy points in the 3 games since. However I believe this is due to game script, in close games or shootouts Kamara will get the majority of the touches, which has been the last 3 weeks. This week however, the Saints are facing a Cincinnati team without top receiver AJ Green and a defense allowing 128.4 rushing yards and 29.6 points per game as well as the 6th most fantasy points to opposing running backs.
TOP PLAY: Michael Thomas @CIN- Coming off of a monster game at home against the Rams where he hung a 12/211/1 line for 33.1 fantasy points, Thomas will face the Bengals who are giving up a league worst 319.4 yards per game in the air and has allowed the 4th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Expect Thomas to torch the Bengals secondary this week.
MUST START: Tyler Boyd vsNO- If you couldn’t tell by now, I think this Saints/Bengals matchup will produce a lot of fantasy points and with AJ Green out, Tyler Boyd is looking like a no brainer start. The Saints defense has allowed the second most receiving yards per game and the most fantasy points to opposing receivers this year. Boyd has been productive with Green on the field and with him out, I believe he will just produce more.
AVOID: Golden Tate vsDAL- After being traded from Detroit to Philadelphia, Tate is on a better team but in a worse spot for fantasy. He was averaging 10 targets per game for Detroit and now playing the Cowboys who are allowing the 2nd least amount of fantasy points to opposing receivers, mix that with the fact that he will be running routes similar to Zach Ertz, and I think Tate should be avoided.
SLEEPER: Antonio Callaway vsATL- Antonio Callaway had his second fewest number of offensive snaps last week, however he’s had at least 5 targets in 6 of his last 7 games. The Browns are also playing a depleted Falcons defense, which has given up the 5th most receiving yards per game and the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.
TOP PLAY: Zach Ertz vsDAL- Ertz has a tough matchup this week against the Cowboys but tight end is extremely thin and he has been extremely productive with 6/8 games over 10 fantasy points this year and at least 9 targets in all but one game this season.
MUST START: OJ Howard vsWSH- OJ Howard has been very good this year when healthy, he has posted at least 53 yards in every game he’s been healthy and has scored 4 touchdowns over the last 4 weeks. He faces an average Redskins defense this week which is allowing the 12th fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends but will get his yards with a good chance at a touchdown.
AVOID: Rob Gronkowski @TEN- Mixed between a bad back and ankle, the fact he hasn’t been the same player this year when he’s played and the fact that the Titans are allowing the fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends…I’m staying away from Gronk this week.
SLEEPER: Jordan Reed @TB- The Redskins offense hasn’t been explosive but against Tampa they may be forced to force the ball down field more. Reed has struggled this season with only 1 touchdown to this point but he is healthy and the Bucs have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, Reed could have a big week this week and could be a sneaky play with people down on him.
TOP PLAY: Bears vsDET
BEST STREAM: Jets vsBUF
TOP PLAY: Jason Myers vsBUF
BEST STREAM: Josh Lambo @IND